中(zhong)國人(ren)民(min)銀行17日公布數(shu)據顯示,4月(yue)央行口(kou)徑外(wai)匯占款余(yu)額增(zeng)加(jia)74.22億元(yuan)至21.5萬億元(yuan),連續第四個(ge)月(yue)增(zeng)加(jia)。交(jiao)通銀行金(jin)(jin)(jin)融(rong)(rong)(rong)研究中(zhong)心(xin)首席金(jin)(jin)(jin)融(rong)(rong)(rong)分析(xi)師鄂永健表示,4月(yue)美元(yuan)指(zhi)數(shu)上行,人(ren)民(min)幣對美元(yuan)小(xiao)幅貶值,但在中(zhong)國經濟基(ji)(ji)本面(mian)保(bao)持平穩(wen)(wen)的(de)情況下,人(ren)民(min)幣匯率總體(ti)上仍(reng)保(bao)持基(ji)(ji)本穩(wen)(wen)定、雙向波動(dong)態勢,跨(kua)境資(zi)(zi)金(jin)(jin)(jin)流(liu)動(dong)也基(ji)(ji)本穩(wen)(wen)定。中(zhong)國加(jia)大(da)金(jin)(jin)(jin)融(rong)(rong)(rong)領(ling)域對外(wai)開放力度,4月(yue)獲批QDII環(huan)比(bi)增(zeng)加(jia),有利于資(zi)(zi)金(jin)(jin)(jin)流(liu)入和外(wai)匯占款增(zeng)加(jia)。
展(zhan)望未(wei)來,鄂永健(jian)認為,短(duan)期(qi)內美(mei)元(yuan)指(zhi)數將(jiang)繼續上(shang)行(xing),人民幣對(dui)美(mei)元(yuan)或小幅貶值(zhi)(zhi),但在中(zhong)(zhong)國經(jing)濟(ji)平(ping)穩的基(ji)本(ben)面和穩健(jian)中(zhong)(zhong)性貨(huo)幣政(zheng)策支(zhi)撐(cheng)(cheng)下,人民幣對(dui)美(mei)元(yuan)不會(hui)出(chu)現明顯貶值(zhi)(zhi);加之央行(xing)基(ji)本(ben)退出(chu)常(chang)態化市場干(gan)預,預計(ji)不會(hui)出(chu)現資(zi)(zi)金(jin)大進大出(chu)的局面,外匯占(zhan)款波幅仍然(ran)保持在0附(fu)近。中(zhong)(zhong)國擴大金(jin)融市場對(dui)外開放有利于境(jing)外資(zi)(zi)金(jin)流入,或將(jiang)對(dui)外匯儲備和外匯占(zhan)款形成一(yi)定支(zhi)撐(cheng)(cheng)。(彭揚)