中證網訊（記(ji)者 王(wang)姣）7月4日，人(ren)(ren)民幣兌美元(yuan)中間價調(diao)貶(bian)98個(ge)基點，報6.6595，連續兩日調(diao)貶(bian)，且(qie)為(wei)2017年8月25日以來(lai)首(shou)次跌破6.65關口。市場人(ren)(ren)士指(zhi)出，未(wei)來(lai)美元(yuan)走強對外(wai)匯市場的(de)影響可能難以回避(bi)，但人(ren)(ren)民幣內在支撐仍然較強，且(qie)匯率超調(diao)面臨宏觀審慎政策的(de)逆向調(diao)控，不會持續大幅偏離合理(li)均衡(heng)水平(ping)。從這一點來(lai)說，近(jin)期人(ren)(ren)民幣對美元(yuan)貶(bian)值最快的(de)階段可能已接(jie)近(jin)尾聲。

　　周二美(mei)元指數紐約尾盤跌0.28%，報94.5893。分析(xi)稱，市場對全(quan)球(qiu)貿易形(xing)勢的關(guan)注度降(jiang)低，提(ti)振(zhen)投資者(zhe)風險偏(pian)好(hao)；德國政治關(guan)系改(gai)善，也提(ti)振(zhen)歐元。

　　國(guo)金(jin)證券(quan)指出，從(cong)美(mei)(mei)元指數來看，6月中旬以來，美(mei)(mei)元指數從(cong)93.5升至95.2，上升幅度并不大，在(zai)岸人民幣即期(qi)則從(cong)6.39貶值至6.64。往前(qian)看，一方面，市場對美(mei)(mei)聯(lian)(lian)儲的加(jia)息定價已經較為充分(fen)。美(mei)(mei)國(guo)失業(ye)率(lv)(lv)持續走低，但薪(xin)資增幅依然低迷，聯(lian)(lian)邦基金(jin)利(li)率(lv)(lv)期(qi)貨顯示，9月加(jia)息概率(lv)(lv)超(chao)過70%，至少下半年還有一次加(jia)息；另一方面，歐元區經濟雖然邊(bian)際走弱，但仍存在(zai)一定支(zhi)撐(cheng)，歐央行(xing)暫時不會(hui)轉向全面寬松。

　　“綜合來看，美(mei)聯儲貨幣(bi)(bi)政策正常(chang)化已經進(jin)入(ru)了中(zhong)后期(qi)，歐央行貨幣(bi)(bi)政策尚(shang)未全(quan)面寬松(song)，市場(chang)對(dui)歐美(mei)的(de)貨幣(bi)(bi)政策分化的(de)定價預(yu)計不(bu)會加速(su)。在(zai)中(zhong)性情況下(xia)，預(yu)計下(xia)半年美(mei)元(yuan)指數(shu)穩中(zhong)略升，美(mei)元(yuan)指數(shu)大幅上行的(de)概率(lv)并不(bu)大。因此，從美(mei)元(yuan)指數(shu)來看，人民(min)幣(bi)(bi)匯率(lv)大幅貶值壓力同樣不(bu)大。”國金(jin)證券表示。

　　值(zhi)得注(zhu)意(yi)的是，7月(yue)3日上(shang)午，中國人民銀(yin)行(xing)副(fu)行(xing)長(chang)、國家外匯(hui)管理局局長(chang)潘功勝在參加港(gang)交所舉辦的“債(zhai)券通周年論(lun)壇”時表示，“我們有信心保(bao)持人民幣匯(hui)率在合(he)理綜合(he)水平上(shang)的基本穩定。”

　　隨后，中(zhong)國(guo)人(ren)民(min)銀行行長(chang)易綱就近期外匯市(shi)場(chang)情況接受了(le)中(zhong)國(guo)證券報記(ji)者(zhe)采訪。易綱表(biao)示，當前(qian)中(zhong)國(guo)經濟基本面良(liang)好(hao)，金融風險(xian)總體(ti)可(ke)控；國(guo)際收支穩(wen)(wen)定，跨境資本流動大體(ti)平衡；將(jiang)發揮好(hao)宏觀審慎(shen)政策的調節作用，保持人(ren)民(min)幣匯率在合(he)理均衡水(shui)平上(shang)的基本穩(wen)(wen)定。

　　7月3日，香(xiang)港和內地市場上人民幣(bi)匯率雙(shuang)雙(shuang)上演V型反(fan)轉(zhuan)。3日，在岸(an)人民幣(bi)兌(dui)美元16:30收(shou)盤價報(bao)6.6672元，較前收(shou)盤價漲182基(ji)點(dian)，進(jin)入夜(ye)盤后，在岸(an)匯價繼續反(fan)彈(dan)，23:30收(shou)報(bao)6.6410元，較上一(yi)交易日夜(ye)盤收(shou)盤漲275個基(ji)點(dian)；全天成交量(liang)縮(suo)減5.75億美元至323.04 億美元。此外，離岸(an)人民幣(bi)兌(dui)美元昨日收(shou)漲0.29%，報(bao)6.6661。

　　中國人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)銀行(xing)授權中國外(wai)匯交易中心公布，2018年7月(yue)4日銀行(xing)間(jian)外(wai)匯市(shi)場人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)匯率中間(jian)價(jia)為：1美元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)6.6595元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，1歐(ou)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)7.7665元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，100日元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)6.0294元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，1港(gang)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)0.84900元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，1英鎊對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)8.7897元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，1澳大利亞(ya)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)4.9186元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，1新(xin)西(xi)蘭元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)4.5000元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，1新(xin)加(jia)坡元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)4.8798元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，1瑞士法郎(lang)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)6.7150元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，1加(jia)拿大元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)5.0691元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)0.60754馬來西(xi)亞(ya)林吉特，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)9.4891俄羅斯盧布，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)2.0545南非蘭特，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)167.60韓元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)0.55127阿聯酋(qiu)迪拉姆，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)0.56287沙特里亞(ya)爾，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)42.1363匈牙利福林，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)0.56599波蘭茲(zi)羅提，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)0.9593丹麥克(ke)朗(lang)，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)1.3258瑞典(dian)克(ke)朗(lang)，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)1.2214挪(nuo)威(wei)克(ke)朗(lang)，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)0.70168土耳其里拉，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)2.9256墨西(xi)哥比索，人(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)(ren)民(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)(min)幣(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)1元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)對(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)(dui)4.9784泰(tai)銖。