公募基金倉位呈現分化
上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)周A股三大股指集體收漲。滬(hu)深300上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲4.05%,上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)證(zheng)指數上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲2.72%,深證(zheng)成指上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲4.55%,中(zhong)小板指上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲4.05%,創業板指上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲2.91%。截(jie)至上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)周五,上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)證(zheng)A股動態市(shi)盈率、市(shi)凈(jing)率分別(bie)為16.24倍(bei)、1.55倍(bei),市(shi)盈率、市(shi)凈(jing)率較上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)期均有(you)所(suo)下降。
以(yi)簡單平均方法計算,上(shang)周(zhou)全部(bu)參(can)與監測(ce)的股票(piao)型基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)(不含指數基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin),下(xia)(xia)同(tong))和(he)混(hun)(hun)合(he)型基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)平均倉(cang)位(wei)為66.53%,相(xiang)比(bi)上(shang)期下(xia)(xia)降0.1個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)。其中,股票(piao)型基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)倉(cang)位(wei)為88.71%,上(shang)升(sheng)0.05個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);混(hun)(hun)合(he)型基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)倉(cang)位(wei)為63.67%,下(xia)(xia)降0.12個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)。
從細分(fen)類型(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)來看,混合型(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)基(ji)(ji)金(jin)中,靈活配置(zhi)型(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)基(ji)(ji)金(jin)倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)(wei)下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)0.15個(ge)百分(fen)點,至60.99%;平衡混合型(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)基(ji)(ji)金(jin)倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)(wei)上(shang)升0.26個(ge)百分(fen)點,至55.96%;偏股混合型(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)基(ji)(ji)金(jin)倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)(wei)下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)0.01個(ge)百分(fen)點,至84.49%,偏債混合型(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)基(ji)(ji)金(jin)倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)(wei)下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)0.31個(ge)百分(fen)點,至26.14%。
以凈值(zhi)規模加權平均的方(fang)法計(ji)算,上(shang)(shang)周股(gu)票型(xing)(xing)基(ji)金和混合型(xing)(xing)基(ji)金平均估算倉位為(wei)73.68%,相比上(shang)(shang)期下降2.08個(ge)百分(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。其中,股(gu)票型(xing)(xing)基(ji)金倉位為(wei)89.72%,上(shang)(shang)升0.21個(ge)百分(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian);混合型(xing)(xing)基(ji)金倉位為(wei)70.23%,下降3.29個(ge)百分(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。
從細分(fen)(fen)類(lei)型(xing)(xing)來看(kan),混合型(xing)(xing)基(ji)金(jin)(jin)中(zhong),靈(ling)活配置型(xing)(xing)基(ji)金(jin)(jin)倉位上升2.05個(ge)(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian),至67.72%;平衡(heng)混合型(xing)(xing)基(ji)金(jin)(jin)倉位上升1.61個(ge)(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian),至61.76%;偏股混合型(xing)(xing)基(ji)金(jin)(jin)倉位下降(jiang)3.63個(ge)(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian),至84.16%,偏債(zhai)混合型(xing)(xing)基(ji)金(jin)(jin)倉位下降(jiang)0.58個(ge)(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian),至22.20%。
從(cong)監測的(de)(de)(de)所有股票型(xing)和混合型(xing)基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)的(de)(de)(de)倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)分(fen)布來(lai)看,上(shang)周基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)在九(jiu)成以(yi)上(shang)的(de)(de)(de)占(zhan)比25.2%,倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)在七成到九(jiu)成的(de)(de)(de)占(zhan)比37.9%,倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)在五成到七成的(de)(de)(de)占(zhan)比8.7%,倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)在五成以(yi)下(xia)的(de)(de)(de)占(zhan)比28.2%。上(shang)周加(jia)倉(cang)(cang)超過2個百分(fen)點(dian)的(de)(de)(de)基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)占(zhan)比16.4%,26.6%的(de)(de)(de)基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)加(jia)倉(cang)(cang)幅度在2個百分(fen)點(dian)以(yi)內,41%的(de)(de)(de)基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)倉(cang)(cang)位(wei)減倉(cang)(cang)幅度在2個百分(fen)點(dian)以(yi)內,減倉(cang)(cang)超過2個百分(fen)點(dian)的(de)(de)(de)基(ji)(ji)(ji)金(jin)占(zhan)比16%。
上(shang)周央行(xing)(xing)(xing)公(gong)開(kai)市(shi)場全口(kou)徑(jing)凈回(hui)(hui)(hui)籠5900億元資(zi)金(jin),央行(xing)(xing)(xing)累計進行(xing)(xing)(xing)了3200億元逆回(hui)(hui)(hui)購操作,公(gong)開(kai)市(shi)場有(you)5100億元逆回(hui)(hui)(hui)購和4000億元MLF到期。月初資(zi)金(jin)利率明顯(xian)回(hui)(hui)(hui)落,隨(sui)著市(shi)場資(zi)金(jin)凈回(hui)(hui)(hui)籠,資(zi)金(jin)面(mian)于(yu)后(hou)半(ban)周出現收(shou)斂,全周來(lai)看(kan),DR001加權利率較(jiao)前期下行(xing)(xing)(xing)51.16BP,DR007加權利率較(jiao)前期下行(xing)(xing)(xing)36.7BP。上(shang)周資(zi)金(jin)面(mian)先松后(hou)緊,股債(zhai)(zhai)“蹺蹺板(ban)”效應明顯(xian),當下債(zhai)(zhai)市(shi)情緒仍偏謹(jin)慎。全周來(lai)看(kan),利率債(zhai)(zhai)除國債(zhai)(zhai)收(shou)益率上(shang)行(xing)(xing)(xing)外,其他品種收(shou)益率多(duo)數下行(xing)(xing)(xing);信用債(zhai)(zhai)收(shou)益率多(duo)數下行(xing)(xing)(xing)。債(zhai)(zhai)市(shi)對(dui)基本面(mian)反應有(you)所鈍化,需更(geng)多(duo)關注債(zhai)(zhai)券供給、市(shi)場風險偏好變動(dong)(dong)對(dui)市(shi)場的(de)擾動(dong)(dong)。
上周三大指(zhi)數集體收(shou)(shou)漲(zhang)。全周來看,申(shen)萬一(yi)級行(xing)業中多數行(xing)業收(shou)(shou)漲(zhang),僅休閑(xian)服務和醫(yi)藥生物行(xing)業收(shou)(shou)跌。其中家(jia)電、汽車(che)板塊漲(zhang)幅居前,周累(lei)計(ji)漲(zhang)幅超10%。外部(bu)不(bu)確(que)定性擾(rao)動(dong)進一(yi)步(bu)下降(jiang),A股(gu)表現亮眼。短期來看,三季報結束后,市場(chang)進入估值空窗(chuang)期,科技類題材(cai)股(gu)和低估順周期藍籌(chou)連續上攻,不(bu)宜追高,建議把(ba)握(wo)板塊輪動(dong)機會(hui)。
基(ji)金(jin)配(pei)置(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)方面,具(ju)體到(dao)(dao)偏股(gu)型(xing)基(ji)金(jin)配(pei)置(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)上,建(jian)議(yi)投(tou)(tou)資者堅持長期投(tou)(tou)資與價(jia)值(zhi)投(tou)(tou)資理(li)念,把握當(dang)前A股(gu)點位較低且長期修復(fu)向上的(de)投(tou)(tou)資機會,運(yun)用均衡風格配(pei)置(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)來(lai)獲取(qu)權益資產(chan)(chan)的(de)增長收益,擇(ze)取(qu)配(pei)置(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)低估值(zhi)績優(you)股(gu)基(ji)金(jin)并(bing)長期持有;具(ju)體到(dao)(dao)債券(quan)(quan)型(xing)基(ji)金(jin)配(pei)置(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)上,債券(quan)(quan)市場近期仍無明顯趨勢,建(jian)議(yi)投(tou)(tou)資者選取(qu)優(you)質債券(quan)(quan)產(chan)(chan)品,首選配(pei)置(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)短(duan)久期高等級信用債產(chan)(chan)品。
各類型基金倉位及變化情況(簡單平均)
分類 上周 上期 變動
股(gu)票型 88.71% 88.67% 0.05%
普通股票型基金 88.71% 88.67% 0.05%
混合型(xing) 63.67% 63.79% -0.12%
靈(ling)活(huo)配置型基金 60.99% 61.14% -0.15%
偏股(gu)混合(he)型基金 84.49% 84.50% -0.01%
偏債混合型基金 26.14% 26.45% -0.31%
平衡(heng)混合型基金(jin) 55.96% 55.69% 0.26%
總(zong)計 66.53% 66.63% -0.10%
各類型基金倉位及變化情況(加權平均)
分類 上(shang)周 上(shang)期 變動
股票(piao)型 89.72% 89.51% 0.21%
普(pu)通股票型(xing)基金 89.72% 89.51% 0.21%
混(hun)合型 70.23% 73.52% -3.29%
靈活配置型基(ji)金 67.72% 65.68% 2.05%
偏股混合型基金 84.16% 87.80% -3.63%
偏(pian)債混合型(xing)基金(jin) 22.20% 22.78% -0.58%
平衡混合型基金 61.76% 60.15% 1.61%
總(zong)計 73.68% 75.76% -2.08%
基金倉位與滬深300走勢
數據(ju)來(lai)源/恒天財富